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MANIFOLD
What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2025 Income Statement?
12
Ṁ3.3kṀ7.9k
2027
20%
> -$30 billion
19%
> -$20 billion
18%
> -$25 billion
15%
> $-15 billion
11%
> $-10 billion
9%
> $-5 billion
7%
> $-1 billion
6%
> $0

  • Update 2026-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on Anthropic's GAAP net income in their audited 2025 Income Statement (fiscal year 2025), expected to be publicly available via an S-1 filing.

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bought Ṁ5 NO

Reuters says they lost $42B in 2025

bought Ṁ25 NO

Anthropic’s S1 probably comes out in the next couple weeks, still feel there’s a lot of alpha in the -5b buckets and higher

Clarification: doing research I saw S1 are always made publicly available and contain the three most recent fiscal years of income statements, so I changed the market to 2025 since that’s the year I’m interested in and we’re basically guaranteed to see it.

My apologies to traders who made purchases based on other assumptions

edit: misread the options and got confused sorry, please ignore :)

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