Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030?
6
Ṁ1.4kṀ8872029
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001. Resolves yes if the S&P drops 25.4% or more over a period of a year or less before 2030. Only closing prices count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
26% chance
Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?
44% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in one day in 2026 or 2027?
17% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in 2026, 2027, 2028 or 2029?
15% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
25% chance
S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?
1% chance
S&P500 below 4,000 before eoy2028?
8% chance
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
11% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
15% chance
Us market crash in 2026?
10% chance