If we discover the Charlie Kirk assassin, will it be
60
200Ṁ2476Sep 18
9%
A super far-left political activist
3%
Someone with a personal (apolitical) vendetta against Kirk
0.6%
A foreign agent (e.g., Russian), intent on sewing dissent in the American public
10%
A "false flag" republican operation designed to heighten sentiment against the political left and excuse new draconian pro-Trump policies
18%
A socially liberal groyper
42%
Generally left leaning
6%
someone who is super far-right
12%
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Will Charlie Kirk’s assassin be officially termed a foreign asset?
2% chance
Which method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
In what state will Charlie Kirk's killer be arrested?
Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?
3% chance
On what day will the first person be charged with Charlie Kirk's killing?
9/21/25
Charlie Kirk's murder prompts retaliation by end of 2025?
26% chance
What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?
Will at least one accomplice be arrested in the Charlie Kirk assassination in September?
14% chance
Will Charlie Kirk's shooter be deceased at the time of identification and public announcement?
1% chance
Was Charlie Kirk already dead as of 09/10, 12:08:17 PM Pacific Time?
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filled a Ṁ1 YES at 38% order
Will it only resolve to one option, or will the options resolve Yes/No separately? I think the market will have more longevity that way.
filled a Ṁ1 YES at 22% order
Orders up for socially liberal groyper
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Related questions
Will Charlie Kirk’s assassin be officially termed a foreign asset?
2% chance
Which method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
In what state will Charlie Kirk's killer be arrested?
Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?
3% chance
On what day will the first person be charged with Charlie Kirk's killing?
9/21/25
Charlie Kirk's murder prompts retaliation by end of 2025?
26% chance
What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?
Will at least one accomplice be arrested in the Charlie Kirk assassination in September?
14% chance
Will Charlie Kirk's shooter be deceased at the time of identification and public announcement?
1% chance
Was Charlie Kirk already dead as of 09/10, 12:08:17 PM Pacific Time?