Will the war in Israel/Palestine escalate to World War Three on or before January 1, 2024?
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The resolution criteria on this market are so poor that it's impossible to bet on it.

How many countries would need to be involved? Would China need to declare war? Would a nuclear weapon need to be detonated, as is the stereotypical WWIII scenario, or would the more likely scenario of a modern ground war suffice?

Could you modify the criteria to at least add something? Otherwise, I want to add a better market on this.

@SteveSokolowski

These are good points. I’m pretty new, and definitely made some rookie mistakes on my first couple of questions.

Side note: you don’t have to be such a dick about it.

@JasonKuczek I apologize, and didn't mean to offend you.

Could you point out what you took offense at? I truly don't see what's wrong with the post, so I want to improve next time.

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