Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by January 1, 2024?
23
181
αΉ€430
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

This question will resolve as YES if no nuclear weapon is detonated before January 1, 2024, outside of controlled tests.

Get αΉ€200 play money

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We have no incentive to bet yes...

@lukalot *We have no incentive to bet no. πŸ™ƒ

bought αΉ€5 of YES

17% chance for nuclear warfare by 2024 still seems way to high