Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by January 1, 2024?
23
430Ṁ7932resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve as YES if no nuclear weapon is detonated before January 1, 2024, outside of controlled tests.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ66 | |
| 2 | Ṁ36 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)
9% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
22% chance
Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?
18% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
23% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)
9% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
22% chance
Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?
18% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
23% chance