Who will make the default model for Cursor's agent at the end of 2025?
12
11kṀ8845Dec 31
40%
Anthropic
29%
Google
9%
OpenAI
9%
Cursor (custom model)
5%
4%
DeepSeek
4%
xAI
Which company will create the model that Cursor uses as the default for their agent at the end of 2025?
If Cursor doesn't have an "agent" mode at resolution time but has a similar popular mode, this will resolve based on the model for that.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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