Who will manifold choose to win in random 1V1 presidential election matchups
13
61
Ṁ470Ṁ775
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
88%
Gavin Newsom V Kamala Harris
79%
Sam Altman V Jeff Bezos
68%
Benjamin Netanyahu V Ron Desantis
62%
50%
Destiny V Jasontheween
41%
Marjorie Taylor Green V Matt Gaetz
34%
Vladimir Putin V Donald Trump
27%
Adolf Hitler V Joseph Stalin
26%
A paperclip maximizing AGI V a mana maximizing AGI
24%
Vladimir Putin V Xi Jinping
20%
An auto veto stamp V an auto sign pen
The first person is yes the second person is no. Please format all your answers the same way. I will start making polls 2 weeks from now and they will each last a week. I won't make all of them in two weeks so be warned.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
A paperclip maximizing AGI V a mana maximizing AGI
Related questions
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Who will get a higher percentage of votes in their elections this November?
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
69% chance
Who will win the 2040 US Presidential elections?
A more detailed Who will win the 2024 presidential election?
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?
40% chance
Will the next US president to be inaugurated win the popular vote?
77% chance
Will US presidential election opinion polling for eventual runners correctly predict the result?
71% chance
Will at least six candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5% chance