🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ138 | |
| 2 | Ṁ121 | |
| 3 | Ṁ120 | |
| 4 | Ṁ111 | |
| 5 | Ṁ62 |
As noted in my bio, I resolve using Zvi's house rules (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ge3Jf5Hnon8wq4xqT/zvi-s-manifold-markets-house-rules). This market has fallen under rule 16 -- "Markets will resolve early, even if the outcome is unknown, if the degree of uncertainty remaining is insufficient to render the market interesting, and the market is trading >95% or <5%". There has been zero activity on yes, no activity at all in a month, and this has been <5% for a month, so I am resolving early, enjoy having your mana back.
Hot Ones has had very few even remotely political guests. There was John Oliver and that's probably the most political one.
Also, I doubt Trump likes spicy food. So, given his ego and the machismo persona he presents, going on Hot Ones probably wouldn't show Trump in a very flattering light from his own perspective.
This should be no higher than 5%. And even that seems really high, IMO.