Will there be a tape or hot mic released of Donald Trump saying a hard R between now and Election Day? Tape or hot mic can have been recorded at any time, just released publicly or leaked before Election Day.

Judging authenticity of such a tape is always difficult - if there’s a tape with multiple people claiming that it’s authentic, and somehow verified as authentic, this market would resolve yes.

If there is a tape of dubious origin with no really way to verify, I don’t think I would count that as a verified hot mic or tape.