Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if an official report, news release, or statement from a reputable news organization (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg, or major national newspapers) confirms that a Waymo vehicle, operating in autonomous mode, was involved in a collision that resulted in a fatality occurring before 12:00 AM UTC on July 1, 2026.

The market resolves to NO if no such incident is confirmed by the specified time.

Resolution will rely on investigations and reporting from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) or relevant state-level transportation authorities. If a report is published after July 1, 2026, confirming that a fatal accident occurred prior to that date, the market will resolve to YES.

Background

Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc., operates autonomous taxi services in several U.S. cities, including Phoenix, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. The company is required to report certain types of crashes to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) under standing general orders regarding automated driving systems. While Waymo has been involved in collisions since launching its public service, the definition of a "fatal accident" and the specific circumstances regarding the operation of the vehicle at the time of the event are key metrics for evaluating safety performance.

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