When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?
7
Ṁ175Ṁ2942030
January 1, 2028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
2025
19%
2026
33%
2027
25%
2028
10%
2029
10%
2030 or later
Resolves to the year the first at-fault Waymo death occurs. The Waymo must be at least 50% at-fault or greater for this to resolve. This includes any death directly caused by the Waymo. I will try to use official determinations of fault, but if those are not available, I will use a consensus of credible reporting to determine who was most to blame. I won't trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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