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MANIFOLD
When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?
8
Ṁ175Ṁ304
2030
February 29, 2028
3%
2025
15%
2026
32%
2027
25%
2028
10%
2029
14%
2030 or later

Resolves to the year the first at-fault Waymo death occurs. The Waymo must be at least 50% at-fault or greater for this to resolve. This includes any death directly caused by the Waymo. I will try to use official determinations of fault, but if those are not available, I will use a consensus of credible reporting to determine who was most to blame. I won't trade in this market.

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