Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?
5
1kṀ3212027
13%
Finance (portfolio optimization, risk, pricing)
8%
Pharma / chemistry (drug or material discovery)
8%
Logistics / mobility (routing, supply chain, EV fleets)
8%
Cybersecurity / cryptography
8%
Government / defence
53%
No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032
Description
This market resolves based on which sector first demonstrates wide, real-world adoption of quantum computing for production (non-experimental) workloads.
Resolution Criteria:
• The market resolves YES for the first sector that meets the criteria above.
• If no sector clearly meets the criteria by 31 December 2032, resolve to: “No sector shows ‘wide adoption’ by 31 Dec 2032.”
• If multiple sectors advance, the earliest clear adoption wins.
Academic-only usage or single-company pilots do not qualify as wide adoption.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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