
How will Tesla's 2023 FSD accident rate compare to the US average (independent review)?
4
310Ṁ41resolved Jan 4
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Assume an independent (non-Tesla) review is conducted on Tesla cars in full self driving (FSD) mode over the 2023 period, and the reviewers publish an estimate of FSD mode miles per accident. Then, by what (logarithmic) factor will this number of miles differ from the 2023 (or most recent) national average? This question resolves to the base 10 logarithm of this factor.
If no such review is conducted, this question will resolve N/A. The review must be conducted by an independent company, or government body which has access to relevant data.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be true about Tesla FSD by end 2025?
Will Tesla achieve unsupervised FSD in 2025?
19% chance
Will Tesla FSD Robotaxi have a fatal accident in Austin in 2025
15% chance
Will a Cybertruck be reported to be involved in any FSD-related fatality by the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will Tesla Fsd ever be better than a human driver
84% chance
What self-driving level SAE will Telsa self-driving be at the end of 2025?
What self-driving level SAE will Telsa self-driving be at the end of 2025?
Tesla Robotaxi Service at-fault accident or non-fully-autonomous by 2026?
82% chance
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?
50% chance