Will the New Madrid fault produce a catastrophic earthquake in 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ200Jan 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will depend on newsworthiness of event. Leading reports (of fissures, building collapse, etc.) on major media outlets will suffice to fulfill the condition, Richter Scale notwithstanding.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Predictions about destruction due to Earthquakes in 2024
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
21% chance
Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2024?
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or larger during 2024?
20% chance
Will an earthquake 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 50 miles of San Francisco occur by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will an earthquake of 4.0 or more with an epicenter within 5 km of San Francisco happen in 2024?
21% chance
Will America get a big earthquake, along the West Coast and as far as Mexico City, in 2024?
14% chance
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude >6.0 in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
40% chance
Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)
46% chance