Will James Talarico be leading by 3% or more in the upcoming YouGov Poll?

Question

Resolves yes if James Talarico is up by 3.00% or more, using likely voters if available, if not, use registered voters.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Sep 20, 2026).

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