Will a runoff be needed in the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary?
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Ṁ333Ṁ2.6kresolved Mar 4
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No, Talarico wins first round. (50.00%+)
5%
Yes, a runoff is needed.
11%
No, Crockett wins first round. (50.00%+)
resolves yes to correct answer.
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Per Nate Silver https://www.natesilver.net/p/whos-the-real-favorite-in-the-texas
There is an obscure third candidate, Ahmad Hassan, in the race. In past U.S. Senate primaries, Hassan has gotten between 1.5 and 3.5 of the vote. Presumably, he’ll get less this time with two such high-profile frontrunners. But I’d ballpark perhaps a 15 percent chance of a runoff. Because this could easily come down to just a point or two.
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