Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?

Question

As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus. For the caucus question, see @/EvanDaniel/how-will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-w .

For the two-party case, see @/lukt/which-party-will-win-nebraskas-2026

Note that the Democratic party is not expected to field a candidate; they've endorsed Osborn.

In the event that Osborn declares for a major party and appears on the ballot as a D or R candidate, this market will resolve to the D or R option.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Republican, followed by Independent (Dan Osborn) and Democratic are most likely. See the market for live updates (71 traders, as of Oct 25, 2026).

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