Resolution criteria

• This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan (Class II seat) held on November 3, 2026.

• Resolution will be determined by the official results certified by the Michigan Board of State Canvassers, which can be verified on the Michigan Secretary of State election results page.

• If there is a recount or a legal challenge, the market will not resolve until the final certified winner is officially declared and any immediate legal challenges are resolved.

• Since the candidate list is closed (addAnswersMode is disabled), if any candidate other than Abdul El-Sayed or Mike Rogers wins the election, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

The 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan will take place on November 3, 2026. The seat is currently held by Democratic Senator Gary Peters, who is not seeking a third term.

Following the primary elections on August 4, 2026, the major party nominees were finalized:

• Abdul El-Sayed won a highly competitive Democratic primary, defeating moderate U.S. Representative Haley Stevens.

• Mike Rogers, a former U.S. Representative who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate election, secured the Republican nomination unopposed.