MANIFOLD
Who will win over 18% of the vote in the 1st round of the2026 Portuguese presidental election?
7
Ṁ500Ṁ805
resolved Jan 18
Resolved
YES
Andre Ventura
Resolved
YES
Antonio Jose Seguro
Resolved
NO
Luis Marques Mendes
Resolved
NO
Henrique Gouveia e Melo
Resolved
NO
Joao Cotrim Figueiredo

RESOLVES YES if the listed name recieves 18.00000% or more of the vote in the first round of the portuguese presidental election on 18 jan 2026.

resolves no otherwise

Resolves according to official election results.

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"With days to go until Portugal’s presidential election on 18 January, the race is unusually open. João Cotrim de Figueiredo, the liberal candidate backed by Iniciativa Liberal, has moved from afterthought to genuine contender for the runoff. A recent poll for CNN Portugal, TVI, JN and TSF captures the fragmentation." https://www.wespeakfreely.org/2026/01/15/portugals-presidential-sprint-a-liberal-breaks-into-the-front-pack/


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