How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
1
Ṁ300Ṁ2252029
41%
At least 58
59%
At least 56
64%
At least 55
66%
At least 54
69%
At least 53
34%
At least 60
74%
At least 52
76%
At least 51
79%
At least 50
79%
At least 49
82%
At least 48
84%
At least 47
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenateseatsd/democratic-senate-seat-count/kxsenateseatsd-29
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
How many House Seats will the Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms? [Exact Number]
Will the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
99% chance
How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
How many House Seats will the Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms? [Add Answers]
Will Democrats win the Senate in the 2028 Senate elections?
90% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
1% chance