MANIFOLD
What’s true of Kamala HQ’s Big Announcement? Short Fuse, Read Desc
15
Ṁ2.5kṀ5.8k
in 12 hours
86%
It’s actually involves Kamala, and not just her HQ account being used for this
83%
Kamala Harris appears on video or is live
67%
She mentions Trump
60%
Announces something to support Democratic candidates other than herself(eg. PAC, mentorship, support program)
59%
She mentions ICE
53%
She mentions the 2024 election loss
40%
Twitter Lefties like the announcement. People like Kyle Kulinski, Hasan Piker and others in that area.(my judgement, I won’t bet)
38%
She mentions Tim Walz
37%
Supporting candidates in 2026 based on race/gender. Eg. She has a new mentorship program for women only.
31%
She’s endorsing a specific candidate for any office
31%
She makes an endorsement in a democratic senate primary for 2026
28%
She’s endorsing a ballot measure
20%
, Something crazy/insane (my opinion, I won’t bet) think Truth social for dems, Crypto token, She thinks 2024 was stolen
17%
She’s announcing more book tour dates
16%
She’s officially running for any political office
9%
She’s running for 2026 California governor
8%
She’s running for US Senate in 2026
6%
She’s officially running for 2028 president(leaving door open doesn’t count)
6%
She believes voter fraud occurred in 2024
4%
She’s Leaving the Democratic Party

For the announcement, She refers to Kamala HQ. Even if the announcement is unclear who’s it’s coming from, If Kamala HQ says it in the announcement tomorrow, Resolves Yes

Resolves to all correct answers. Eg. If she endorses a candidate, announces a pac to support upcoming candidates and endorses a democratic senate candidate, resolves yes to all correct answers.

Suggest answers for me to add

https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/2019197348178788725

Mentions ice/tim Walz etc. if it is a press release, resolves yes if they are mentioned still.

Announces something to support Democratic candidates other than herself - eg. She could announce a pac or a program to support candidates.

Twitter lefties like the announcement. I will look at Twitter. I’ll resolve based on what majority of them think. Could resolve %. Will resolve based on opinion of people like Kyle Kulinski, Hasan Piker and others in that area.

Market context
Democratic Party
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Ooh fun

bought Ṁ50 NO

I think he’s completely wrong, but I added she runs for senate anyway

bought Ṁ100 NO

bought Ṁ100 NO

For the announcement, She refers to Kamala HQ. Even if the announcement is unclear who’s it’s coming from, If Kamala HQ says it in the announcement tomorrow, Resolves Yes

add: announcing a crypto token

Add: something completely crazy and insane and random, creator judgement

@realDonaldTrump example: launching truth social but for dems

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Jack1 A specific candidate or an issue?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@realDonaldTrump this is about stuff like announcing a pac, a program, a mentorship.

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