Resolves based on market history of
This market will resolve to a percentage (not YES or NO), specifically the highest percentage that Ben's Puzzle Round 3 market trades at during its lifetime, regardless of how that market ultimately resolves.
Ben previously has closed the market when the correct guess is added, without warning. Will the winning guesser be confident in their guess, if one is added? Will traders be confident the puzzle will be solved?
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ318 | |
| 2 | Ṁ15 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
@Eliza 😂 I didn’t think of that. I was thinking the correct guesser might not be confident and it would never trade that high.
@MachiNi The main puzzle market has traded at 96%. So This market will not resolve to anything lower than 96%.
Hang on... If I believe that Ben's market will be at 70% in the future, it's rational for me to bet it there now. But if I believe that Ben's market will be at 27% (current prob on /Jack1/whats-the-lowest-round-3-of-bens-pu ), it's rational for me to bet it there now.