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MANIFOLD
Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?
6
Ṁ325Ṁ366
2028
21%
Rahm emanuel
38%
Gavin newsom
16%
AOC
16%
Kamala harris
16%
Josh shapiro
24%
Jon ossoff
24%
Ro khanna
16%
Jon stewart
31%
Pete buttigieg
38%
Jb pritzker
24%
Mark kelly
24%
Andy beshear
11%
James Talarico

No more names will be added

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "YES" for the first three individuals from the provided list who officially declare their candidacy for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election. The rest will resolve no

An "official run" is defined as filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission (FEC)

The market will resolve based on the chronological order of these filings or announcements. If multiple candidates announce on the same day, they will be ranked by the time of day if available, or otherwise alphabetical order of surname. https://www.fec.gov/data/candidates/president/ and credible national news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, or major network reporting).

Background

The 2028 U.S. Presidential election cycle will begin following the conclusion of the 2024 election. The individuals listed are frequently cited in political commentary as potential candidates within the Democratic Party or as high-profile political figures. As of May 2026, none of the individuals listed have officially launched a campaign for the 2028 presidency. Candidates often form exploratory committees or launch PACs prior to an official run, but these actions do not constitute an official presidential campaign for the purpose of this market.

Market context
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