Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which democrat will be the first to announce run for presidency for the 2028 election?
3
Ṁ275Ṁ29
2027
28%
Gavin Newsom
7%
Josh Shapiro
8%
AOC
8%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
JB Pritzker
7%
Mark Kelly
7%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
Jon Ossof
7%
Andy Beshear
9%
Kamala Harris
7%
Ro Khanna

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the person from the provided list who is the first to officially announce their candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. An "official announcement" is defined as a public statement, the filing of a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or the formation of an exploratory committee for the 2028 presidential race.

If an individual not listed in the options announces their candidacy first, this market will resolve to the person from the provided list who is the first to officially announce their candidacy. If no candidate from this list announces by the time a nominee is chosen for the 2028 election, or if the election cycle concludes without any of these individuals announcing, the market will resolve to N/A.

Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, New York Times) and official filings available via the FEC website (https://www.fec.gov/).

Background

The individuals listed are frequently mentioned by political analysts as potential contenders for the Democratic nomination.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!