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MANIFOLD
Did the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any major office election in 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ9
Nov 8
40%
chance

When a 2028 Democratic presumptive nominee is declared, I will look back at their history, and ask, did they win a general election in 2026?

Offices that count: Senator, house member , Governor.

  • Update 2026-05-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market only counts general elections, not primaries.

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@Jack1 that one includes primaries