Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if, on the official date of Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) on a recognized public stock exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE), Anthropic's closing market capitalization is between $1.400 trillion and $1.600 trillion (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
Determination of Market Cap: Resolves according to Google finance and Yahoo finance
Timing / Non-occurrence: If Anthropic does not complete an initial public offering or direct listing by December 31, 2027, the market will resolve to NO (unless the market creator extends the date before then).
If Anthropic is acquired, merges, or dissolves without going public via an IPO, this market will resolve to NO.
1,000Market was 50% when I bet, I have it 22%. On Yahoo's count (13.1B shares outstanding per the filing) the band needs a $104–122 close; fully diluted it needs $78–89. Pre-IPO trading sits near $94, between both. https://decrypt.co/382939/anthropic-sets-ipo-price-range-at-70-to-78-valuing-company-at-up-to-1-4-trillion