Will Donald Trump gain in betting markets after the first debate? | Manifold

Will Donald Trump gain in betting markets after the first debate?

Plus

96

Ṁ23k

resolved Sep 12

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Election Betting Odds (https://electionbettingodds.com/President2024_week.html) will be used to determine whether Donald Trump's win probability has increased.
The difference in his win probability 24 hours after the first debate will be compared to his probability on the day of the first debate, just before it starts.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

How does this market resolve if his win probability is unchanged?

It‘ll be spun as “he didn’t make a COMPLETE FOOL out of himself, so he won”

Related questions

Will Trump legalize prediction markets?

Did Trump really gain a lot of popularity after his rally with Elon Musk or is capital changing the prediction markets?

Will The presidential debate on Sept 10th be a positive for the trump campaign ?

Related questions

Will Trump legalize prediction markets?

Will The presidential debate on Sept 10th be a positive for the trump campaign ?

Did Trump really gain a lot of popularity after his rally with Elon Musk or is capital changing the prediction markets?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules