Will Donald Trump gain in betting markets after the first debate?

Question

Election Betting Odds (https://electionbettingodds.com/President2024_week.html) will be used to determine whether Donald Trump's win probability has increased.

The difference in his win probability 24 hours after the first debate will be compared to his probability on the day of the first debate, just before it starts.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Sep 12, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.