Kalshi “calls” the Senate by…? (>95% odds)
4
Ṁ250Ṁ139Nov 27
November 3, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
24%
Before Nov 3rd 6:00 pm
24%
Before Nov 3rd 7:00 pm
41%
Before Nov 3rd 8:00 pm
50%
Before Nov 3rd 9:00 pm
50%
Before Nov 3rd 10:00 pm
59%
Before Nov 3rd 11:00 pm
59%
Before Nov 4th 12:00 am
66%
Before Nov 4th 1:00 am
66%
Before Nov 4th 2:00 am
89%
Before Nov 5: 12:00 pm
This market will resolve according to when the Kalshi market “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?” https://kalshi.com/markets/controls/senate-winner/controls-2026
first reaches 95% for either party. (The final outcome is irrelevant).
All times are given in eastern time.
The Kalshi API will be used to confirm the exact odds at any given minute.
The times are exclusive, so for example if the market reaches 95% on November 3rd at exactly 9:00 PM, 6 through 9 will resolve NO, and everything else will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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