Will a gene drive for making humans more peaceful be released by the start of 2040?
Basic
7
Ṁ5932040
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question should resolve to "no" if the answer is not known at the resolution time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Interesting question. Loosing a gene drive on humans wouldn't really be very threatening, because humans can just get tested and see whether they have it before conceiving. It would only get passed on with people who're indifferent about whether their children inherited it or not.
...
o__o ...
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will gene-drives be used to control an introduced animal species population by 2030?
55% chance
When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild?
Will any CRISPR based gene drive be released in the wild by 1/1/2026?
25% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
7% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
14% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?
11% chance
Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
32% chance
Will DIY Gene Drive happen?
34% chance
Will there be laws protecting genetically modified humans from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2060?
27% chance