Following Flight 7's upper stage destruction due to a propellant leak, this market predicts whether the next Starship test (Flight 8) will achieve a successful landing without destruction of either stage. Resolution criteria: Market resolves YES if both stages of Starship complete their mission profiles without destruction during Flight 8. Market resolves NO if either stage is destroyed or experiences catastrophic failure during the mission. Sources for resolution: Official SpaceX streams and announcements, verified space news sources like space.com.
Update 2025-19-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
Blowing up of a stage is only considered a successful resolution if it is part of the mission plan.
If a soft splashdown is planned and a stage blows up unexpectedly, the market resolves to NO.
1,000
3.00@DanHomerick Only if blowing up is part of the plan-- if the plan is a soft splash and it blows up, it resolves no