Will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol at the end of 2023?
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resolved Dec 16
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This question is from the 2023 ACX prediction contest. It resolves as per Scott Alexander's judgement, unless such judgement is obviously wrong as per a strong majority of Manifold traders.
Some clarification from the Google form:
If there is active fighting over the city, whoever controls the main train station (or, if destroyed, the piece of ground where the train station used to be) is counted as controlling the city.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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