@IsaacKing Yesterday's U.S.-Israeli airstrike on Sharif University's datacenter causes this to resolve YES, I believe:

- CNN: https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/06/world/live-news/iran-war-us-trump-oil?post-id=cmnnhgyrk0000356s3jf35no3 "an airstrike targeted Tehran’s Sharif University of Technology on Monday morning, the semi-official Tasnim News Agency reported.

The strike damaged the university’s computing center and GPU facility, which provides infrastructure to the country’s AI capabilities, according to Tasnim, which is affiliated with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)."
- https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/us-israeli-jets-bomb-artificial-intelligence-infrastructure-in-iranian-capital/3894678 "A US-Israeli strike targeted a data center at Sharif University of Technology in Tehran"
- https://gvwire.com/2026/04/06/us-iran-study-ceasefire-plan-as-deadline-nears-on-trumps-hell-threat/ "A U.S.-Israeli attack hit the data center at Sharif University of Technology in Tehran, damaging infrastructure underpinning the country’s national artificial intelligence platform and thousands of other services, Fars News Agency said on Sunday."
- https://breakingthenews.net/Article/Strike-on-Iran%27s-tech-university-damaged-data-center/66014093
- https://www.news18.com/world/iran-threatens-strike-us-ai-centre-abu-dhabi-openai-stargate-data-centre-iran-missiles-warning-sharif-university-attack-ws-l-10018399.html "[the semi-official Tasnim News Agency] mentioned the attack in Tehran damaged the computing centre and GPU facility at Sharif University of Technology"

US, Israeli jets bomb artificial intelligence infrastructure in Iranian capital

Attack hit data center at Tehran’s Sharif University of Technology | Anadolu

If China or the US accidentally or intentionally takes out TSMC factories, does it count? They're not datacenters.

@StrayClimb Good question. I'm inclined to say no.

What if a conflict starts with attacks on air defense systems so that a data center can be struck effectively?

@MartinRandall Hmm, yeah, if the later intended target is the datacenter, that counts. (Once it's actually hit.)

Seems to have happened in Ukraine already, so I'll bet it is going to repeat soon (e.g. https://www.forbes.com/sites/thomasbrewster/2022/03/15/internet-technicians-are-the-hidden-heroes-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/ shows a photo of "Kyivstar data center after an attack"). Unless "air strike" would be defined narrowly to exclude both aircraft-launched cruise missiles and drones. Verification might be a problem though....

@MartinModrak Hmm, maybe I should have specified that needs to not be part of an existing war.

Huh, I feel kinda dumb, I was interpreting the question through the lens of Yudkowsky's proposal, but if it's just "datacenter bombing as a part of the business/war as usual" then I wouldn't have placed the bet that I did.

@Lovre Same

I've edited the description. Let me know how much you each lost and I'll send you a manalink.

@IsaacKing A trivial amount for me, so I’m not worried about it

@MartinModrak So just an unprovocked airstrike, without the contries being at war?

@IsaacKing wouldn't it make more sense to tie the resolution to claimed rationale for the attack? You might otherwise find yourself in the difficult discussion on what is a war... Also an airstrike on data center for reasons other than AI still looks way more plausible even without larger conflict. mana link needed I lost just a bit.

@Lovre The discussion about the proposal(s) appears to me to focus on weird longtermist speculation while forgetting about the dangers of things that are already happening or could happen in near future, so there might be a metaphor here 😀

@fejfo Presumably it wouldn't be unprovoked; the precipitating country would probably have asked politely first.