Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(5) be known before 2030? | Manifold

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(5) be known before 2030?

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resolved Jul 6

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Busy_beaver#Exact_values_and_lower_bounds

https://bbchallenge.org/

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#Computational Complexity Theory

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https://discuss.bbchallenge.org/t/july-2nd-2024-we-have-proved-bb-5-47-176-870/237

@IsaacKing @mods kindly resolve :)

https://www.quantamagazine.org/amateur-mathematicians-find-fifth-busy-beaver-turing-machine-20240702/

Fifth busy beaver found!!!

Is the metaculus post in Evan's comment the same question?

It's close. The Metaculus one is for 2040 instead of 2030, and the standards for resolution are likely slightly different, but the core question is the same.

Related: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9749/proof-of-the-5th-busy-beaver-number/

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https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-the-5state-busy-beaver-be-know

predictedNO

@NoaNabeshima Thanks! Didn't see this one.

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