Will @PeterMillerc030 bet at least $1000 USD against @EliezerYudkowsky on the origins of Covid19 before 2025?
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170Ṁ2479resolved Jan 3
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https://twitter.com/tgof137/status/1739160184252227605
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory#ae9e8EUQzdJA7xviW8Eb
Must be a real-money bet between the two of them, where Peter's side of the bet is at least $1000 USD.
Peter has offered a much larger bet of $26,000, but no response from Eliezer yet. Eliezer has made large real money bets before, such as $150,000 on whether UFOs are NHIs, and ascribed a probability of 80% in 2021 to the lab leak theory.
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