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Will Mark Ingraham be gone for good by the end of May?
41
closed Jun 1
0.7%
chance

Mark Ingraham is a user who has been trolling Manifold for the past few weeks by posting intentionally controversial or confusing markets and comments. They've been "testing" the ability of Manifold to ban them, by creating a new account every time their old one is banned.

Accounts that appear to be Mark include:

This resolves to YES if at the end of May I haven't seen any activity by any account that seems likely to be Mark within the past 2 weeks.

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xyz avatar
Yoav
DjdjEueuw avatar
Djdj Eueuw

I am putting everything into my inflation bet on the may CPI with Chris. If that fails I will go negative and leave. Chris is a coward and is putting a small fraction of his wealth in, despite literally working for the government department that calculates the CPI.

Regardless of whether I leave, capitalism will collapse and all my predictions will be correct.

Mira avatar
Mirais predicting NO at 0.8%

Shus Eueue7 (@ShusEueue7) | Manifold Markets

If that account looks like Mark this market is guaranteed to resolve NO.

duck_master avatar
duck_masteris predicting NO at 0.8%

@Mira Yeah I agree that this is probably a Mark Ingraham sock.

I found some more socks too:

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@duck_master mystery solved. All the socks go to mark

duck_master avatar
duck_masteris predicting NO at 0.8%
Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 0.8%

@duck_master That guy socks real hard.

duck_master avatar
duck_masteris predicting NO at 0.9%
Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 0.9%

@duck_master and @EjeEisis

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 0.9%

@duck_master also I think this market can resolve as no.

duck_master avatar
duck_masteris predicting NO at 0.9%

@Schwabilismus I already found EjeEisis on May 1 (which was three weeks ago!). But also I agree that this is pretty much a guaranteed NO at the point.

duck_master avatar
duck_masteris predicting NO at 3%
Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 3%

@duck_master .... And Jsjw Jssu

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 3%

@duck_master And Eis Didis8s

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismus

@IsaacKing

Users "Djj Riri" and "Djj Riri" seem to be alts, too.

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 3%

@Schwabilismus I bought yes because hope is the last one to die.

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithis predicting YES at 3%

@Schwabilismus What a weirdo. Him, not you

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 3%

@JohnSmithb9be I can be weird, too. But usually only when I intend to.

Mira avatar
Mirais predicting NO at 3%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall

Will Manifold stop feeding the trolls by end of 2023?

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithis predicting YES at 3%

@MartinRandall End troll hunger 2023!

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@MartinRandall which platform doesn't have trolls? I think the communities on most platforms do more (via moderation for ex) to manage trolls than the admins of any site. I don't really get what you're trying to say ig

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall

@firstuserhere it's common for returning banned users to have all their content deleted or hidden, for example.

Making markets about banned users is feeding too.

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere (edited)

@MartinRandall gotcha!

I endorse this now that you've mentioned it. Much of Mark's content, including markets, should be deleted

duck_master avatar
duck_mastersold Ṁ46 of NO

I've sold my NO. 3% is way too low unless there's yet another Mark Ingraham sock I don't know about.

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithis predicting YES at 3%

@duck_master I saw him place a bet yesterday in passing but I don’t keep a stalkerish eye on him.

duck_master avatar
duck_masterbought Ṁ10 of NO

@JohnSmithb9be OK I bought some NO again.

duck_master avatar
duck_master
duck_master avatar
duck_masteris predicting NO at 16%
IsaacKing avatar
Isaacis predicting NO at 48%

Mark now appears to be reporting their own accounts to the mods...

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 3% (edited)

@IsaacKing "I am wild like a mustang", ohmygod. I laughed so hard at this. What is going on with this dude?

Schwabilismus avatar
Schwabilismusis predicting YES at 3%
JosephNoonan avatar
Joseph Noonanis predicting NO at 53%

Pretty sure I found another one: https://manifold.markets/ShajajWjai

IsaacKing avatar
Isaacis predicting NO at 59%

Related:

jonsimon avatar
Jon Simon

Oh wow, I only knew about a couple of these accounts, had no idea he was so persistent. Will continue hitting the report button when I encounter any trolling 🫡

IsaacKing avatar
Isaacis predicting NO at 51%

I appreciate how Mark is now giving me a heads up for each new account. Makes this much easier.

IsaacKing avatar
Isaacis predicting NO at 51%

Unless of course @xyz is behind it all.

IsaacKing avatar
Isaacis predicting NO at 51%

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