Will Manifold take down any user content due to legal threats that violate free speech principles before 2030?
5
1kṀ985
2030
31%
chance

Non-exhaustive list of things that do not count:

  • A comment that contains classified plans for a nuclear weapon is deleted because it's illegal.

  • Someone requests their own content to be deleted, Manifold doesn't have a way to do this, they due Manifold under GDPR or similar.

  • Manifold themselves publishes an article on their Substack, then takes it down when someone complains.

Non-exhaustive list of things that do count:

  • Someone writes a letter to Manifold threatening to sue them for libel because someone posted a market that was critical of them, or actually does sue Manifold, and Manifold takes the market down.

  • A market about someone with a history of legal threats suddenly disappears, and Manifold refuses to provide any explanation.

I'm open to ideas on how to operationalize this better, please ask questions and make suggestions.

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bought Ṁ150 YES

Seems inevitable that at least 1 "will I kill X" market will get made and taken down at some point in the next 5 years.

@JoshuaPhillipsLivingReaso That wouldn't satisfy this market unless it was taken down by Manifold because the subject complained. Even then, I'm not sure whether that should count, that's not really a free speech issue.

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