Will Manifold still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?
25
80
แน€1k
2025
95%
chance

This could resolve NO if:

  • Almost all users have left the platform and I'm one of the last lonely few people still resolving markets.

  • Manifold shuts down the market creation and trading as part of shutting down the website, but still allows old ones to resolve.

  • Manifold shuts down, but some new website takes over some of their open markets.

Get แน€600 play money
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bought แน€10 of YES

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