
Will Manifold still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?
24
closes 2025
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ10 +6%
New probability
94%
This could resolve NO if:
Almost all users have left the platform and I'm one of the last lonely few people still resolving markets.
Manifold shuts down the market creation and trading as part of shutting down the website, but still allows old ones to resolve.
Manifold shuts down, but some new website takes over some of their open markets.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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