The two main problems right now are:

• Honest market creators can resolve a market incorrectly by accident, and have no easy way to fix it.

• Dishonest market creators can resolve a market incorrectly on purpose in order to turn a profit, and face next to no repurcussions for it.

These are both very serious problems that impact users' willingness to trust markets and put money into the site, and they're pretty simple to fix, so it's unclear why Manifold has not done so yet. For example:

• Allow creators to change the resolution of a market within a few days of its resolution.

• Give the community a way to flag dishonest creators, and display that warning prominently to others. (We used to have this, and Manifold removed it for some reason.)

• Allow either Manifold admins or some sort of community consensus to re-resolve or N/A a fraudulent market.

There may be other approaches as well, these are just the most obvious ones.

This market resolves positivly if I feel the issue is at least mostly resolved for future markets. (Past markets don't need to be fixed.)