Will I be scammed out of at least $100 by the end of 2025?
20
1kṀ956
2026
13%
chance

Scams abound. My spam folder is full of them. Some are more sophisticated. Will anyone succeed in scamming me out at least $100 or an item of comparable worth?

Theft does not count, I must have actually been tricked. If I get scammed but am able to reclaim the money with relative ease, that also doesn't count. If I'm uncertain as to whether I was scammed or not (e.g. it could have been a legitimate "lost in the mail" situation), that doesn't count either. Scams that occurred prior to market creation don't count.

Base rate so far is 1 (maybe 1.5) successful $100+ scam of me in ~10 years of having control over my own finances. (At least, that I can remember.)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy