Will I experience financial loss due to identity theft by end of 2027? | Manifold

Will I experience financial loss due to identity theft by end of 2027?

18

1kṀ700

2028

8%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not include if someone steals a physical credit card. Resolves Yes if someone steals my password information (potentially via a security leak) and spends my money / otherwise disadvantages me financially be impersonating me.

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Base rate is 0.1%-1% per year.

@IsaacKing FWIW, I have no reason to believe I would be below base rate.

predictedNO

@CarsonGale Do you have reason to believe you're above it?

@IsaacKing I'm not familiar with what factors would influence the rates, so no.

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Will I be scammed out of at least $100 by the end of 2025?

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Related questions

Will I be scammed out of at least $100 by the end of 2025?

Will I still feel that it is important to protect my social security number (SSN) in 2050?

Will I suffer theft or fraud leading to uninsured losses of ≥$1k?

Will any of my Magic cards be stolen before the end of 2025?

Will CLEAR's biometric customer data be leaked by 2027?

Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?

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Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?

Data breach of Treasury Department data occurs before September 1st 2025

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