Will I experience financial loss due to identity theft by end of 2027? | Manifold

Will I experience financial loss due to identity theft by end of 2027?

18

1kṀ700

2028

8%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not include if someone steals a physical credit card. Resolves Yes if someone steals my password information (potentially via a security leak) and spends my money / otherwise disadvantages me financially be impersonating me.

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Base rate is 0.1%-1% per year.

@IsaacKing FWIW, I have no reason to believe I would be below base rate.

predictedNO

@CarsonGale Do you have reason to believe you're above it?

@IsaacKing I'm not familiar with what factors would influence the rates, so no.

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Related questions

Will my RISK credit score exceed 900 at any point* in 2025?

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Will RISK fail to pay an insurance claim before 2028?

Will Manifold leak KYC information by the end of 2026?

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