Will I experience financial loss due to identity theft by end of 2027? | Manifold

Will I experience financial loss due to identity theft by end of 2027?

Plus

18

Ṁ700

2028

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not include if someone steals a physical credit card. Resolves Yes if someone steals my password information (potentially via a security leak) and spends my money / otherwise disadvantages me financially be impersonating me.

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Base rate is 0.1%-1% per year.

@IsaacKing FWIW, I have no reason to believe I would be below base rate.

predicts NO

@CarsonGale Do you have reason to believe you're above it?

@IsaacKing I'm not familiar with what factors would influence the rates, so no.

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