
Will Eliezer Yudcowsky lie to a cow before he stops eating them?
16
1kṀ11942100
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1730735241051148521
If Eliezer ever renounces beef due to having changed his mind about their sentience, this market resolves NO. If I receive credible evidence of Eliezer knowingly and intentionally misinforming a cow, this market resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
66% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?
45% chance
Will I gain any significant insight from reading Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book?
34% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
76% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella start dating during the next 3yrs?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky try retatrutide in EOY2025?
20% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
18% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
72% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?
18% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
7% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
66% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?
45% chance
Will I gain any significant insight from reading Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book?
34% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
76% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella start dating during the next 3yrs?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky try retatrutide in EOY2025?
20% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
18% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
72% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?
18% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
7% chance