Will at least 50 people have landed on Mars within 15 years after the 1st?
20
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k2100
56%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
26% chance
Will humans successfully land on Mars within the next 30 years?
69% chance
Will any human successfully land on Mars by 2030?
7% chance
Will humans landing on the Mars in this decade?
7% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
47% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on Mars in 2050?
27% chance
Will a human land on mars before ASI is achieved
47% chance
When will a human land on the Mars?
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
24% chance
Will the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?
68% chance