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I don't see anything in my Paypal. Confirming this didn't happen before I resolve NO?

@IsaacKing shit I forgot

I just wanted to state that I will not be sending Isaac $10

@DesTiny I already did so you didn’t have to

Once there is Ṁ1k to make on this market then that could be enough for someone to do it.

@DesTiny and also: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-manifold-dollars-be-exchanged

@firstuserhere I think if this market resolves yes and the person who sent it buys yes on this market then it would resolve yes as well, right? I guess that market is a little unspecific.

@firstuserhere should've embedded the market:

Will you close this early if someone does PayPal you?

@MegTong Hmm, good question. What would lead to the more interesting market? If I say yes, then the fact that the market is still open gives people the information that I haven't been paid, so the market will tend to trend downwards as time goes on. This gives people more of an incentive to pay me, which should partially cancel out the downwards probability trend. But that still seems more interesting.

So I think I should probably say yes I'll close it early, unless someone gives me a counterargument.

@IsaacKing Even more interesting would be to gaslight the market participants by claiming you’ll resolve early, for the reasons stated, but not doing so, in an attempt to get paid multiple times, and then dealing with all the outfalling layers of people commenting “claiming” they paid you (and buying YES to “support” the claim) and you continuing the gaslight with claims to the contrary, “how dare you sully my honor, sir”, and all that.

Unless someone tried heading off that possibility by laying out the plot up front. Alas.

Then again, it might be even more interesting after that!