Will anyone have had sex with Aella due to a market on Manifold by the end of January 2024?
39
648
Ṁ7.2KṀ650
resolved Feb 5
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1704947908976767432
This only resolves YES if it's known conclusivly that this occurred. A very indirect reason like "I saw this person on Manifold and we got to talking elsewhere" doesn't count, but "I did it to manipulate a market" does. In other words, the counterfactual "if a specific market had not been created, the sex would very likely not have occurred" must be true. (I reserve the right to modify this description slightly if I realize a problem with it.)
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