200
81k
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
YES
Daniel Kuntz (@dankuntz)
Resolved
YES
TrumpSC
Resolved
YES
Jayem
Resolved
NO
manifold.love/JosephineDeclerck
Resolved
NO
Wesley Fenza
Resolved
NO
Peli Grietzer
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO
Eneasz Brodski
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO
manifold.love/Crazytieguy
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO
Thomas Schulz
Resolved
NO
Caleb Ditchfield (@klob)
Resolved
NO
Eliezer Yudkowsky

Bet on Love is the world’s first prediction market dating show, hosted by Manifold.

We're looking for 7 contestants to take part in a live event on February 10th, 2024 (the Saturday before Valentine's Day!) at Brava Theater in San Francisco. If you're a person located in (or willing to travel to) the Bay Area, looking for a chance to win a date with Aella, and enjoy answering spicy questions on camera, this event is for you!

To be considered as a contestant, please submit yourself as an answer to this question and post a comment linking to your Manifold.love profile.

To be respectful of people's wishes, ONLY SELF-SUBMISSIONS will be accepted for private individuals. If you submit someone else's name as an answer, and they are not a celebrity or public figure, it is guaranteed to resolve N/A. If we end up selecting a contestant, the submitted answer will resolve YES. Many details of the show are tentative and subject to change. In the event that we do not proceed with the casting call, all answers will be N/A'd rather than resolving NO.

Bet on Love

Event details

February 10th, 2024, 7pm @ Brava Theater. The event will also be streamed.

Get your tickets here!!!

Concept

“The Bachelorette meets spicy live polling + markets”

Guest Star

Aella (@Aella)

Structure

Seven lucky contestants vie for the chance to go on a date with Aella, who poses them a series of weird, controversial, and thought-provoking questions. The contestant with the worst answer in Aella's eyes is voted off each round, until only one remains. Markets track who’s most likely to be voted off next and who’s most likely to win overall and are visible to both Aella and the contestants at all times.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ5,592
2Ṁ3,955
3Ṁ3,235
4Ṁ2,122
5Ṁ852
Sort by:

We're proud to announce our six contestants for Bet on Love! Thanks to everyone for participating and betting in this casting call! We had many excellent submissions and it was quite a challenge to narrow down our choices.

Check out the contestants' manifold.love profiles to see if they have what it takes to win @Aella's heart!

Jeffery Shih (aka TrumpSC)

Zain Memon

Daniel Kuntz

Subhi

Philip Parker

Jayem

...and, since this is Bet on Love, you can get your bets on the winner 🏆: /BetonLove/who-will-win-bet-on-love

And the first elimination ☠️: /BetonLove/which-contestant-will-be-eliminated

reposted

Contestants have been finalized and will be announced tomorrow. Get pumped!

This is exciting!

You guys need me on that list and let me tell you why.. I design cabins for safer and better sex at festivals (wearelovr.com) and I’m launching the first dating app for the smart glasses.. ! (Connect-auras.com)

bought Ṁ100 manifold.love/Crazyt... YES

yoav will make this event 10x better

Vote for Josephine cause shes an absolute fox

No offense to everyone I bet against, but the contestant probabilities added up to 1100% and they are only picking 7 people, so I just sold everyone across the board until it ended up nearer to 700%.

https://manifold.love/klob

Fuck it, let's have some fun.

Seems exciting, give me the spiciest questions 😁

https://manifold.love/Crazytieguy

This market is making me realize I'm extremely susceptible to peer pressure: all of my friends are betting on me to be in the show, so I feel like I *have* to get myself chosen at this point. I don't know how to influence the organizers, though...

team Robi 🙌 you'd be a great contestant

@RobiRahman I was encouraging you not to, largely because I have a negative opinion of Aella, but if you want to you totally should and you'd be a great contestant!

@Adam Why do you have a negative opinion of Aella?

Let's have one woman on that list.. Me!

https://manifold.love/JosephineDeclerck

Just making sure I don't lose out on a technicality… https://manifold.love/Shelvacu

why do the entries add up to much more than 100%? Isnt the point that only one contestant gets to go on the date?

@aoefan This market is about who will be selected as a contestant, seven contestants are to be selected.

@chrisjbillington oh i see, thanks for clearing that up!

@BetonLove I'd like to ask who made the logo because it's pretty

@Wobbles I did (using AI).

Are submissions still open?

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