Will anyone die in space before 2030?
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The death must be above the Kármán line. (100km.) If it's unknown where exactly the death occurred, there must be a >=50% chance it occurred above the Kármán line.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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There's only ever been one incident where people died above the Kármán line. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight-related_accidents_and_incidents
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