
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
44
1kṀ16kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The detonation must include a nuclear component. The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ142 | |
| 2 | Ṁ118 | |
| 3 | Ṁ90 | |
| 4 | Ṁ89 | |
| 5 | Ṁ86 |
People are also trading
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
14% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
9% chance
Sort by:
This is a pretty good list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons_tests#Known_tests
The last definitive test other than those by North Korea was in 1998. There was a possible 2020 test by China.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
14% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
9% chance