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If predicting "No" for the future market cap of any cryptocurrency reaching at least $100 billion by the end of 2026, your paragraph would need to provide a rationale based on market trends, regulatory actions, technological developments, or economic factors that might lead to such an outcome. Here is how you might articulate that perspective:

While the cryptocurrency market has previously achieved remarkable milestones, including valuations soaring past the $100 billion mark, the future of these digital assets remains highly uncertain. Predicting that no cryptocurrency will hold a market cap of at least $100 billion by the end of 2026 takes into account potential stringent regulatory frameworks that are being debated and implemented around the world. Such regulations could dampen investor enthusiasm and limit market participation. Additionally, the volatile nature of the market, heightened by speculative trading, may lead to cautious investment behavior. Economic factors, such as inflation, interest rate hikes, and the possibility of a prolonged global economic downturn, could also negatively affect disposable income and investment in high-risk assets. Technological issues, including scalability and security concerns, could further erode trust in cryptocurrencies. This perspective assumes that a combination of these factors could lead to a significant contraction in the cryptocurrency market, preventing any single digital currency from reaching a $100 billion market cap by the specified time.

Cryptocurrency has been experiencing a lot of volatility lately, with major coins being affected such as Bitcoin and Ethereum (Statista, n.d.). This in turn has caused the percentage increase YOY decrease in 2022. When it comes to market cap growth, it is projected to increase by about 14.4% by 2027 resulting in 64.5 Billion USD(Statista, n.d.). Meaning it is very unlikely for there to be a large jump in market cap as crytpocurrnecy is still in its adoption stage, hence it will take a long time or it to be fully immersive and intuitive for the consumer.

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By the end of 2026, it's very likely that at least one cryptocurrency will have a market capitalization of more than $100 billion, and several may accomplish this feat. The cryptocurrency market is expected to reach a valuation of over $1 trillion in the next five years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 20%. The market values of well-known cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana exceed $10 billion, and a number of others have the potential to expand significantly. The likelihood of cryptocurrencies reaching a market capitalization of $100 billion is strong, even though market volatility is still a risk.

The present capitalization of the cryptocurrency market, which has already surpassed $1 trillion, shows significant growth and promise. 

Notably, with the support of strong communities and cutting-edge technologies, cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, Bitcoin, Solana, and others are well-positioned to reach market capitalization exceeding $100 billion by 2026.

The cryptocurrency market remains in its nascent stage of evolution, albeit it has exhibited remarkable growth in recent years. In 2017, the cumulative market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies amounted to a mere $18.2 billion. At present, the total market capitalization has exceeded the $1 trillion threshold.

This surge in market value can be attributed to a multifaceted interplay of factors, encompassing institutional investment, the continuous advancement of novel cryptocurrency technologies and applications, and the expanding public consciousness regarding cryptocurrencies.

In light of prevailing trends, it is highly probable that the cryptocurrency market will sustain its growth trajectory in the forthcoming years. Should the market capitalization attain the $2 trillion mark by the year 2026, it is conceivable that no less than ten cryptocurrencies could command market capitalizations of $100 billion or more.

Among the specific cryptocurrencies with the potential to achieve a market capitalization of $100 billion by 2026, notable mentions include:

1. Bitcoin (BTC)

2. Ethereum (ETH)

3. Solana (SOL)

4. Cardano (ADA)

5. Avalanche (AVAX)

I hate to say this could happen, but not sure of it. Currently, the cryptocurrency has dropped by half of the price from 2 years ago, but it still could happen.

My Black-Scholes analysis

(This ignores inflation and changes in total circulating supply)

Is this going be shown as the marginal per unit rate times the amount ever minted, or will coins not currently in circulation be excluded? If so, what are the categories for inclusion or exclusion?

CoinMarketCap currently has the top four as BTC at $552B, ETH at $189B, USDT at $83B, and BNB at $32B.

In their whole history that my app will give me the ETH/BTC ratio never fluctuated more than 2x above or 3x below where it is now. It seems pretty likely to me that this market will resolve the same as the Bitcoin question.

Bitcoin is currently way above, right?

@roma yes, the question is if Bitcoin will stay over 100B by then

Will a CBDC count?