Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?
135
Ṁ1kṀ47k
resolved Jun 10
Resolved
YES

Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2026, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $1 trillion USD, this market resolves YES.

Otherwise, it resolves NO.

If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ10,748
2Ṁ3,837
3Ṁ828
4Ṁ434
5Ṁ346
Sort by:

Lol they took him back down to $782b intraday. Honestly not a great look on Forbes' part (although doesn't change how this market resolves)

christ

bought Ṁ6,000 YES

Forbes showing musk is the first trillionaire

@Mochi Wow. I didn't expect this. Absolutely crazy run.

@Sketchy it’s honestly crazy how far ahead he is ahead of 2nd place on that list

@Mochi it’s a very sketchy list. On the front page it shows him with $1 trillion but if you look at his profile, it shows him owning 782 billion. They’re looking for eyeballs not credibility.

Elon now claims he is a trillionaire.

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2030762935442628711

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 59% order

@brianwang want to bet a large amount @60%? I’d do up to M25k.

Happy to cede the resolution to mods in case of any ambiguity whatsoever.

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 55% order

@Sketchy 5k at 55% is in. I only have so much liquidity and there are other similar bets at even better odds

Same question here, hedge accordingly

no African trillionaires in a year of Mamdani

@elephant huh...?

@bens Mamdani said there should be no billionaires, so a trillionaire would clearly violate that.

soldṀ344NO

@Sketchy ah shoot you scooped my sell

sold Ṁ344 NO

@bens Didn’t mean to snipe you on my own market! I just forgot about the new price set feature and didnt want to hold a position after it got into a more reasonable range.

@Sketchy no worries 😆

bought Ṁ250 NO
bought Ṁ250 NO

You can see the sleeplessness in his eyes

bought Ṁ50 YES

@ItsMe your autocorrect somehow turned a letter 'k' into this long word.

😭